Chiefs at ChargersNovember 28th, 2009 by Lee Eldridge
I certainly didn’t predict that the Chiefs would beat the Steelers. And I find it almost as unlikely that the Chiefs will beat the Chargers tomorrow. Almost.
Phillip Rivers throws one of the best deep balls in the game. But he also seems to think he can throw it whenever he wants, which occasionally gets him in trouble. The Chargers offense is ranked #16 in the league. And their running game has been largely ineffective, where they rank #29, rushing for only 87.9 yards per game. LaDanian Tomlinson is past his prime (458 yards, 3.4 yards per carry). And while Darren Sproles might be explosive, he’s not an every down back (210 yards, 3.5 yards per carry). The Chargers are bound to make some yards through the air, but the Chiefs are very capable of shutting down the Chargers running game. What the Chargers do well is score points. They’re tied for #5 in the league scoring 26.9 points per game.
The Chargers defense was struggling early this year. Before playing the Chiefs in October, the Chargers were giving up 27.2 points per game. Since playing the Chiefs, the Chargers are giving up only 13.8 points per game. They’re getting pressure on the quarterback. And they’re disrupting the offense.
The Chiefs can’t afford to get in a shootout with San Diego. And nobody has been able to keep the Chargers off the scoreboard. Their lowest output of the season is 21 points. The Chiefs formula for success is the same as last week. Make some plays on special teams, and take the ball away from the Chargers.
Prediction: Chargers 27, Chiefs 13